First up, Sean Lucas over at reformation21 He offers several insights:
- the original doomsday article rests upon the premise that since evangelicals have hitched their wagon to the conservative political movement and since that movement is turning against evangelicals, evangelicalism as a movement will soon collapse. This has not proven true historically. The church has, at times in the past, connected itself to political movements. While the movements have passed away the church remains.
- He goes on, however, adding, "That is not to say that the links between God and country which evangelical make are not frightening and are not harmful for Christianity long term... Transforming the Christian faith into a political position seems to raise questions about whether our focus is Jesus or America."
- Lucas also points out that there is a large segment of the church that Spencer ignores, namely midsized, healthy evangelical churches. He focuses too much on the megachurch and the small and dying churches, neglecting the churches (and seminaries) that are doing a good job of training people in more than just techniques for church growth.
- I'll just quote the last point, "I do believe that he [Spencer] is right that the challenge is going to come from Catholicism and Orthodoxy and it will center on questions of authority--in an uncertainty world with competing claims about the Bible and what it means, the "certainty" provided by a church that can claim a two thousand year lineage is hard to deny. Evangelicals must do a better job recognizing that apostolic succession is a real challenge and that the Bible offers its own type of apostolic succession (one of doctrine, not of ordination)."
Sorry, I can't bullet point him. DeYoung agrees with much in Spencer's original article, though isn't as pessimistic. He writes, "I doubt seriously that evangelicalism in the future will 'look more like the pragmatic, therapeutic, church-growth oriented megachurches that have defined success.' These churches certainly exist in large numbers, but I think they've reached their zenith. Pragmatic, therapeutic churches are not the wave of the future. Younger Christians--both on the emergent left and reformed right--think they're bogus."
He also comes armed with his own statistics. He cites a report from 2005 which states that the percentage in of people in evangelical churches remained fairly constant despite decline in other segments of Christianity, going from 9.2% in 1990 to 9.1% in 2005 (and since this is a percentage of a population that is growing, the total number of people in evangelical churches has risen by several million).
The best sentence of DeYoung reflection, "It's curious to me that while secularists have written best-selling books based on their fear of some sort of theocratic evangelical takeover, evangelicals themselves have never cried louder that the sky is falling. I suspect that both of these shrill voices are mistaken." He's probably right.
Finally, Mark Galli over at Christianity Today responds (I think his is the best, so read the whole thing). He does a very good job of differentiating between the cultural form of evangelicalism and the theological core of the movement. I'll just tease with some long quotes and hope you go read the whole thing.
For all our cultural influence and religious impact, evangelicals are "like a drop from a bucket, and are accounted as the dust on the scales … [they] are as nothing before him, they are accounted by him as less than nothing and emptiness." This quotation, from Isaiah 40:15-17, refers to "the nations," but it applies just as well to the "evangelical nation." Movements of God — think the desert fathers, monasticism, the Great Awakening, and so forth — come and go.
What we know as evangelicalism is a temporary cultural expression of the Christian faith. It comes with idiosyncrasies, good and bad. It has produced the populist Religious Right activist Jim Dobson and the careful, moderate scholar Mark Noll. Out of its publishing houses come books like Left Behind and books like Knowing God. It has proven itself to be small-minded, judgmental, and legalistic, as well as generous, sacrificial, and heroic (I think especially of evangelical work with HIV/AIDS and sexual trafficking today). It has at times been totally out of touch with contemporary culture, and at other times on the cutting edge (for example, we have consistently been early adopters of new technology — radio, TV, the Internet).Like any movement, religious or not, evangelicalism has become embedded in certain aspects of its culture. Because it exists in the contingencies of history, it can't help but tie itself to some cultural themes while fighting others...
...evangelicals on the ground, in our better moments at least, care less about our "movement" and more about "the evangel," the Good News of Jesus Christ. If the constellations of individuals and groups that have constituted the cultural shape of evangelicalism were to disappear, most of us would quickly move on. Because we know that would hardly signal the end of evangelicalism.